Those that want change are unlikely to carry through the threat and leave if they loose. They are likely only to try again in four years. They are not going to give up and neither is the Renewal Coalition going to give up fighting for the traditional stance. Those that want the change have tried to do many things such as change the structure of the UMC to remove foreign delegates from voting on U.S. issues. They will try literaly any tool or strategy to get the change through thankfully the Renewal Coalition exists and is made up of experienced Conference delegates that know the process. If we can force the other side to follow the rules I don't believe they can pass any change this year but if they find an opening they will push it through.
It is hard to beat back the liberal revisionist agenda, especially on issues like affirmation or blessing of homosexual behavior. That fight was lost in the Episcopal Church and in some other generations. I really hope that the result is different in the UMC.
"O blest communion, fellowship divine! We feebly struggle, they in glory shine; All are one in Thee, for all are Thine. Alleluia, Alleluia!"