Trump needs to win Pennsylvania

I've been following the polls very closely for over two months, and it's clear that Trump's best shot at victory is to win Pennsylvania. Apparently, Trump's advisors have reached the same conclusion, since Trump is holding three rallies in Pennsylvania today.

If Trump wins all of the following states, he will have 272 electoral college votes, or 2 more votes than the 270 needed for victory. Trump is behind in the polls in most of these states, so clearly his victory is not assured. I expect Florida, North Carolina, and probably Texas to announce the state victor on election night, so if any of the three states go Democrat, then Trump will almost certainly have lost the election.

+5 Biden - Pennsylvania
+3 Biden - North Carolina
+3 Biden - Arizona
+2 Biden - Florida

+1 Biden - Georgia
+1 Trump - Texas
+2 Trump - Ohio
 

Ignatius

Member
I've been following the polls very closely for over two months, and it's clear that Trump's best shot at victory is to win Pennsylvania. Apparently, Trump's advisors have reached the same conclusion, since Trump is holding three rallies in Pennsylvania today.

If Trump wins all of the following states, he will have 272 electoral college votes, or 2 more votes than the 270 needed for victory. Trump is behind in the polls in most of these states, so clearly his victory is not assured. I expect Florida, North Carolina, and probably Texas to announce the state victor on election night, so if any of the three states go Democrat, then Trump will almost certainly have lost the election.

+5 Biden - Pennsylvania
+3 Biden - North Carolina
+3 Biden - Arizona
+2 Biden - Florida

+1 Biden - Georgia
+1 Trump - Texas
+2 Trump - Ohio
You realize polls aren't elections right?

BTW how do you propose we make lying wrong again if lying racist groping imbecile joe and his kamal are elected?
 

Thistle

Active member
I've been following the polls very closely for over two months, and it's clear that Trump's best shot at victory is to win Pennsylvania. Apparently, Trump's advisors have reached the same conclusion, since Trump is holding three rallies in Pennsylvania today.

If Trump wins all of the following states, he will have 272 electoral college votes, or 2 more votes than the 270 needed for victory. Trump is behind in the polls in most of these states, so clearly his victory is not assured. I expect Florida, North Carolina, and probably Texas to announce the state victor on election night, so if any of the three states go Democrat, then Trump will almost certainly have lost the election.

+5 Biden - Pennsylvania
+3 Biden - North Carolina
+3 Biden - Arizona
+2 Biden - Florida

+1 Biden - Georgia
+1 Trump - Texas
+2 Trump - Ohio
Trump is going to win because he campaigns like he governs . . . Seriously. The left has learn exactly nothing from 2016. As you can see below PA is the only state in question. [link]

PA Oct 2020 Presidential Poll

Joe Biden 47.4%​

Donald Trump 45.1%​

Jo Jorgensen 3.1%​

Someone Else 2.6%​

Howie Hawkins 1.0%​

Undecided 1.8%​

NC Oct 2020 Presidential Poll

Donald Trump 48.8%​

Joe Biden 46.0%​

Jo Jorgensen 2.3%​

Howie Hawkins 0.4%​

Don Blankenship 0.2%​

Someone Else 0.6%​

Undecided 1.7%​

AZ Oct 2020 Presidential Poll

Donald Trump 47.8%​

Joe Biden 43.8%​

Jo Jorgensen 2.2%​

Someone Else 1.6%​

Undecided 3.6%​

FL Oct 2020 Presidential Poll

Donald Trump 48.4%​

Joe Biden 46.1%​

Jo Jorgensen 1.8%​

Howie Hawkins 1.0%​

Someone Else 1.1%​

Undecided 1.6%​

GA Presidential Poll

Donald Trump 49.8%​

Joe Biden 43.3%​

Jo Jorgensen 2.4%​

Other Party Candidate 2.2%​

Undecided 2.4%​

TX Presidential Poll

Donald Trump 49.4%​

Joe Biden 43.4%​

Jo Jorgensen 1.8%​

Another Party Candidate 2.2%​

Undecided 3.1%​

 
Last edited:

Harry Leggs

Member
I've been following the polls very closely for over two months, and it's clear that Trump's best shot at victory is to win Pennsylvania. Apparently, Trump's advisors have reached the same conclusion, since Trump is holding three rallies in Pennsylvania today.

If Trump wins all of the following states, he will have 272 electoral college votes, or 2 more votes than the 270 needed for victory. Trump is behind in the polls in most of these states, so clearly his victory is not assured. I expect Florida, North Carolina, and probably Texas to announce the state victor on election night, so if any of the three states go Democrat, then Trump will almost certainly have lost the election.

+5 Biden - Pennsylvania
+3 Biden - North Carolina
+3 Biden - Arizona
+2 Biden - Florida

+1 Biden - Georgia
+1 Trump - Texas
+2 Trump - Ohio
Lying to the media and the public is legal. Just so you know.
 

Authentic Nouveau

Well-known member
Lying to the media and the public is legal. Just so you know.
Cracks me up. Canadian "following the polls very closely" lol

Nov 3 is the POLL.

Ivanka
Has a line several blocks long to get in and see her. Obama the narcissist angry that he can only get 50.

Ivanka drew 10 times what Biden and Obama did combined.
10 times the best turnout ChelseaClinton ever obtained.
 
I've been following the polls very closely for over two months, and it's clear that Trump's best shot at victory is to win Pennsylvania. Apparently, Trump's advisors have reached the same conclusion, since Trump is holding three rallies in Pennsylvania today.

It makes a lot of sense for Trump to concentrate on Pennsylvania, because from where I sit winning Pennsylvania is essential for Trump to be elected to a second term. What I don't understand is why he is still doing rallies in Michigan and Wisconsin. He is even holding rallies in Nebraska District 2 and Maine District 2 which only have a single electoral vote each.

The situation in Wisconsin is typical of Trump's current strategy. He held a rally there yesterday, where he argued that he deserved a second term because he had wrestled coronavirus to the ground (unfortunately for Trump, coronavirus is currently making a dramatic resurgence in Wisconsin - yesterday, Wisconsin had 5000 new cases and 64 deaths). The situation is so bad that Wisconsin has been forced to open field hospitals.

So, do the citizens of Wisconsin believe Trump's lies about coronavirus? An ABC/Washington Post poll, which was released today and is rated A+ by the polling website FIVETHIRTYEIGHT, gives Biden an astonishing +17 lead in Wisconsin:

57% - Biden

40 % - Trump


If Trump really wants a second term, then he needs to discard his fantasy that Wisconsin and Michigan are still within reach for him, and put all of his effort into winning Pennsylvania.
 
Last edited:

Thistle

Active member
It makes a lot of sense for Trump to concentrate on Pennsylvania, because from where I sit winning Pennsylvania is essential for Trump to be elected to a second term. What I don't understand is why he is still doing rallies in Michigan and Wisconsin. He is even holding rallies in Nebraska District 2 and Maine District 2 which only have a single electoral vote each.

The situation in Wisconsin is typical of Trump's current strategy. He held a rally there yesterday, where he argued that he deserved a second term because he had wrestled coronavirus to the ground (unfortunately for Trump, coronavirus is currently making a dramatic resurgence in Wisconsin - yesterday, Wisconsin had 5000 new cases and 64 deaths). The situation is so bad that Wisconsin has been forced to open field hospitals.

So, do the citizens of Wisconsin believe Trump's lies about coronavirus? An ABC/Washington Post poll, which was released today and is rated A+ by the polling website FIVETHIRTYEIGHT, gives Biden an astonishing +17 lead in Wisconsin:

57% - Biden

40 % - Trump


If Trump really wants a second term, then he needs to discard his fantasy that Wisconsin and Michigan are still within reach for him, and put all of his effort into winning Pennsylvania.
If you look at the Trafalgar numbers you will see that he is likely working with much more accurate information that you are relying on. [Link]

PA Oct 25, 2020 Presidential Poll

Donald Trump 48.4%
Joe Biden 47.6%
Jo Jorgensen 2.2%
Someone Else 0.7%
Undecided 1.0%​

 
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